Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.107302 11.817899 13.685237 15.869193 18.347249 21.065391 24.266054
2025-11-23 6.840356 9.058630 11.739771 15.190534 19.482578 24.611671 31.167543
2025-11-30 5.444713 7.951056 11.228248 15.760917 21.790753 29.451434 39.820702
2025-12-07 4.524390 7.179428 10.887545 16.328148 23.967774 34.153948 48.568931
2025-12-14 3.607468 6.193289 10.034440 15.984330 24.756856 36.966632 54.932769
2025-12-21 2.893876 5.353212 9.223695 15.526033 25.238361 39.284925 60.678449
2025-12-28 2.588835 5.099109 9.244144 16.275397 27.505258 44.251894 70.462114
2026-01-04 2.297684 4.808610 9.149698 16.803557 29.442289 48.830900 79.942637
2026-01-11 1.979217 4.405952 8.800383 16.851944 30.590789 52.256235 87.869927
2026-01-18 1.711892 4.047387 8.470001 16.875697 31.669417 55.607036 95.845245
2026-01-25 1.435494 3.615077 7.938462 16.470072 31.963712 57.691084 101.912797
2026-02-01 1.209808 3.243064 7.463581 16.100186 32.262037 59.765513 108.042686
2026-02-08 0.999767 2.875411 6.970821 15.692911 32.556081 62.022234 114.919632
2026-02-15 0.799745 2.485365 6.373892 15.017542 32.316648 63.395051 120.507010
2026-02-22 0.723426 2.387236 6.390470 15.581735 34.458464 69.076193 133.797776
2026-03-01 0.656137 2.296343 6.407235 16.143303 36.636505 74.956061 147.767090
2026-03-08 0.546395 2.055644 6.030715 15.802829 36.982332 77.504426 155.976918
2026-03-15 0.449555 1.823261 5.630171 15.349028 37.039502 79.496581 163.273225
2026-03-22 0.419715 1.794927 5.743734 16.091044 39.651784 86.490063 180.091254
2026-03-29 0.383610 1.735501 5.764925 16.614053 41.834959 92.779090 195.915944
2026-04-05 0.334661 1.615669 5.599979 16.661970 42.982729 97.101570 208.255940
2026-04-12 0.291593 1.503077 5.434587 16.685492 44.071803 101.362789 220.684755
2026-04-19 0.242920 1.350143 5.120665 16.283818 44.153252 103.579121 229.260853